Seat-based webinars sell a fixed number of seats, then draw. That makes the math simple, and it makes the operators comparable.
Total seats divided by winners. A 50-seat, one-winner drop is 1 in 50 no matter what the seat costs.
The manufacturer's MSRP for the exact item, matched by UPC or model, so every operator is measured on the same number. If there is no MSRP on file we fall back to the operator's stated value or a dealer's retail price, and the card says which.
Prize value divided by seats: the seat's share of the prize. A $2,500 revolver across 75 seats makes each seat worth $33.33. Charge $25 and the seat is 25% under fair price. Charge $50 and it is 50% over, which means a third of what you pay is margin.
Seat price times seats is what the operator collects. Divide by the prize value: anything over 100% is their cut. Most drops land between 110% and 140%, which is what keeps the lights on; the ones under 100% are the operator buying volume.
The bar on each card shows seats sold at the last crawl. Drops only draw when they fill, so a drop at 90% is close to a drawing and a drop at 5% might sit for days.
A live example. Colt Python .357 Mag NEW! at GunStakes: $2,500 prize, 75 seats, so the fair price is $33.33. The seat costs $25: 33% under fair price.
None of this is legal advice and none of it changes your odds. It just makes them visible. Operators set their own rules, refunds and shipping; read them before you buy a seat. More questions answered in the FAQ.
One email a day with every new webinar posted across all operators, sorted by value. Nothing else, ever.
Daily drop alerts. Every new webinar across every operator, best value first, 10am.